Biden Poll

Discussion in 'The Lounge' started by kyle12345, Oct 25, 2020.

  1. kyle12345

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    This came up on a social media feed. If reaffirms what I think will happen Nov. 3. All my friends and family who voted for Trump still will...

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    A lot of pundits are in denial. They think this is going to be some sort of blowout. I’m here to tell you it’s not. It’s going to be very close, probably down to just a couple of points. Just look at some of these new polls:
    Michigan: Trump 47, Biden 46 (-1)
    Arizona: Trump 48, Biden 44 (-4)
    Florida: Trump 48, Biden 46 (-2)
    We need your financial support more than ever before. Please make a $25 contribution, or more if you can. Every dollar drives up our votes so we can beat Trump and the GOP nationwide. Thank you for all your help. God bless.
     
  2. hookemdano

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    I dont know...I keep hearing about polls...that says its close or has biden ahead,,,,BUT...then I see the biden "rallies" vs the Trump rallies...

    am I the only one that sees a slight difference in the numbers of people showing up ?
     
  3. swings are free

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    I know alot of people who switched to trump supporters this time, just saying.
     
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  4. hookemdano

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    I dont know of anyone that switched to biden
     
  5. Creek

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    Polls are meaningless. Dems conduct polls all the time with 3x the Democrats solicited. Its no wonder most every poll says Trump is behind. 2016 had Trump in the hole and Hillary laughing. I assume people are galactically stupid and cant remember what Election Day 2016 ended up like.
     
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  6. camobass

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    “Every dollar ups our votes” hmm
    I understand more brainwashing adds for those who can’t reason...but what else is that dollar doing?
     
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  7. camobass

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    It’s because Biden’s voters can’t leagally cross the border to show up
     
  8. camobass

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    I wonder if Vinny is one of them??? Lol
     
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  9. oldfogey

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    The polling groups have some concerns. It's a multi million(maybe multi billion) dollar industry. Four years ago they basically got it flat wrong, and it looks like it may well be the same this election. Who's going to pay a polling group to run a poll when their track record is WRONG two executive office elections in a row?
     
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  10. kyle12345

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    My grandpa always told me growing up, there is only one “poll” that really matters and to ignore the rest.
     
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  11. hookemdano

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    Capture.png
     
  12. Daddo

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    [QUOTE="Creek, post: 743690,
    If I may quote someone (who I don't remember who), polls are for Fishing and Firemen. They mean nothing. Look at 2016.
     
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  13. Easy619

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    I voted Libertarian in 2016. Trump got my vote this year. I know numerous people who are right-leaning that didnt vote trump last time but did this year. I think the way things are heading on the left is rubbing alot of people "in the middle" the wrong way. I think the complete media blackout of the Biden stuff going on is really lifting the veil on how the media works in this country for a lot of people. I know I have left leaning buddies who are mystified about the lack of coverage on this stuff.
     
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  14. kyle12345

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    I know a few people who voted Clinton that voted Trump as well. That’s why I think the way I do, they live in the Midwest.
     
  15. dmorgan3

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    This is good, states what the outcome would be with the exact same polling errors as in 2016: A repeat of the 2016 polling error would see Biden win with a 342 electoral vote landslide

    When someone thinks it has to be a blowout for either side and that everyone they know is voting for XYZ, that is telling you more about themselves than the election.

    538 is still the best site to get odds, Biden has the advantage but Trump still has a chance. 538 gave Trump the best odds of any forecaster (ignoring blowhard pundits) last time around. As usual, watch Florida. 2020 Election Forecast
     
  16. kyle12345

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    I appreciate your post. One thing to note, is a lot of people I know who are voting Trump are not open about it online or at work out of fear of being labeled a racist. Just saying there is are a lot of "silent" voters out there. Part of my midwest culture is conflict avoidance, we do not like to stir things up so naturally they would state they are voting for the "safe" candidate-Biden.

    This is only my opinion, I could be wrong, and also I do pretend to know a lot about the southeast or southwest too, those parts of the country I know very little about.
     
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  17. dmorgan3

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    Yes, I have heard that for both this election and in the 2016 election. Don't know why anyone would lie to a pollster they don't even know or will ever talk to again. But unless there is reason to believe there is a lot different bias this time around than last, the Fortune article would take that into account. Not to say that things can't change in the last week before the election though.
     
  18. hookemdano

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    538 was wrong last time too
     
  19. hookemdano

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  20. hookemdano

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    If polls didn’t exist, who would you say was winning the election right now?

    It’s a serious question. Would it be the guy who has massive rallies every day, many of them spontaneous, or the guy who stays in his basement every day, drawing scant crowds the rare times he comes up for air?

    Here’s a quick look at a Joe Biden rally vs. a Trump rally:


    "Today, I went to a Trump rally" In Democrat Majority Greenwich, Ct. "I wanted to see one up close for myself...and it was an eye-opening experience"
     
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