Dems Already Lining Up Excuses For Biden's Loss

from the comments and a damn great question that NEVER gets asked

"If anyone tells a "reporter," "Russia is actively interfering in our election," shouldn't the follow up question be, "how exactly are they interfering?"

 

This is a promise I like but I am skeptical he could keep it:

• At a campaign rally in North Carolina Saturday, President Donald Trump told attendees they'll never see or hear from him again if he loses the election to Joe Biden.

Trump tells supporters 'you'll never see me again' if he loses to Biden

 

The response from the Trump administration is "we can't tell you because it is classified and you might leak it" Director of National Intelligence will no longer brief Congress in person on foreign election interference

But they generally spread disinformation (particularly on social media and conspiracy, pseudoscience and fake news websites) and also try to undermine confidence in the election process. There are Russian bots (software) and trolls (people) that spread misinformation.

Russians Again Targeting Americans With Disinformation, Facebook and Twitter Say

Russian agency created fake leftwing news outlet with fictional editors, Facebook says

Offguardian is a fake news site that spreads Russian disinformation about Covid and other topics: OffGuardian - Media Bias/Fact Check , But less obvious methods of using existing conspiracy websites and social media are preferred.

Attempted interference in election machines, ballots and counting is possible but it seems they prefer misinformation.

 

DJT can't even make that guarantee...

 

neither can joe hiden

 

Smart guys like Hook and Pixels who know Trump is going to win and are willing to put their money where their mouth is can make killing in the off shore betting. Not even Trump and the Republican senators are convinced Trump can win (or at least not without Supreme Court help) which is why they are in a panic to get someone approved before the election. And since even the insiders don't know what Hook and Pixels know, that really helps the betting odds.

You could even do what smart guys like Trump do and use leverage. When you see a certain investment opportunity (like Trump University or a Trump casino in Atlantic City), borrow a ton of money to increase your gain.

Sure it is somewhat illegal to bet on an election but the only people who get caught are ones who can't keep from boasting about it, typically online. That wouldn't apply to sharp guys like Hook and Pixels.

 

I dont need any more money thank you


BUT...I do want YOUR money....how much are YOU willing to lose ? come on cupcake.. $10k to low a starting point ?

 

My idea of gambling is to be the house. But there are plenty of offshore betting places where you can bet on elections. Right now, most of them have odds favoring Biden so this is your opportunity to clean up (if you are discrete about it).

 

exactly as I thought

 

Would love to take you up on this if there was a legally enforceable agreement.

Biden with upper-single digit lead over Trump with 4 weeks until Election Day: polls

The only thing better would be if I could find a Biden supporter that thought Biden was 100%. But I would need much better than 1:1 odds on that bet, more like 4:1 2020 Election Forecast . Ideally, I would have enough arbitrage to never lose money and make money most of the time.

 

I have an idea. How about if Trump wins we all agree polls are just used influence public opinion rather then measure it.

 

Polls. Anyone can create a poll. My own shows Trump 94-6 (+or- 2) over Biden in all states - other than those puzzy states of CA, OR and WA.

 

Exit polls would be the only quantifiable measure due to it being post vote. Even then, it would be easy to bias which stations were polled.

Everything leading up to 03Nov is purely speculative

 

ya mean like when I voted for Trump but say I voted biden ?

how do ya exit poll mail-in ?